August 29, 2003

On Business Models

Don Park and Tim Oren are engaged in an interesting discussion of business models in the wifi world. Don kindly makes a suggestion to have Access Point hardware vendors subsidise the price of the wifi Access Point (AP) by bundling it with a services oriented business model.  It's like a blast of deja vu to 2001, back when Sputnik was getting started, and our original business model

Don lays out the basic ideas behind Sputnik's original model pretty succinctly:
  1. Bob, a store owner, buys Sputnik at 1/4 of the price, plugs it in at his store, and use the installation software to register the AP with Sputnik Network.
    • The AP is configured so that only Sputnik Network members can use it. 
    • Administration, security, and account management is all handled by Sputnik Network.
  2. James, a Wi-Fi user, subscribes to World-wide Sputnik Network service for $10 per month, enabling him to use any Sputnik Network AP around the world.
    • Sputnik client software running on his laptop automatically handles authentication with each AP.
  3. AP usage is metered so Bob might receive a check each month if his AP gets a lot of traffic.
In late 2001, Sputnik released its Sputnik Community Gateway to the world, which would turn any old PC with a wireless card into an AP that authenticated users onto the Sputnik Network, a centralized authentication service.  Lots of people downloaded the code, used the gateway, and people joined the Sputnik Network.  But we decided that we were pursuing the wrong business model, and changed our plans. Here's why:

  1. Revenue split.  Each subscriber is paying $10 a month in Don's example.  Some of that money is going to go to Bob, the store owner who has installed the subsidised AP.  The revenue split needs to be compelling enough to make it interesting for Bob.  But there are other folks in the mix here too - like the ISP, see below, the VAR or SI who installed the AP, the location owner, and possibly the roaming agreement provider (like iPass or Boingo) .  So now that $10/month is split with even more people.  That's a lot of ways to split $10, so your service margins get pretty thin, even as it is. Now add in the fact that James is calling customer support because he's getting unreliable service (see Customer Service Headaches below), and it becomes nearly impossible to make money.
  2. Legal issues.  Most residential broadband connections come with a pretty strict Terms Of Service and Acceptable Use Policy which prohibit the sharing of broadband connections.  Of those that do allow sharing, most only allow for sharing within a single household, not reselling of service.  One way around this is to cut the ISP into the revenue split, which would hopefully provide an incentive to them, and cover their costs of extra data traffic passing over their backbone as well as (potentially) James as a lost customer - why should he buy a new DSL or Cable modem if he can surf on his neighbor's connection?
  3. Customer Service headaches.  If we presuppose that our aforementioned wi-fi user, James, is paying a monthly subscription fee, then he's going to demand some kind of service level, otherwise he's going to feel like he's wasting his money.  The problem is that Sputnik has no control over how James is getting his access - for example, what if his neighbor, who is providing him with wifi access decides to move?  Or if he unplugs his AP when going on vacation?  James doesn't know about this, and the Network provider has no control over James' neighbor - we can't go over to his house and turn his AP back on.  James' percieved value of the service drops precipitously, and he gets puzzled, or even angry.  Then the support calls begin - Since he was getting service just fine the day before, he is going to try to figure out why the service isn't working now.  Now James starts calling the Sputnik call center, trying to diagnose the problem with "his computer".
  4. The rise of "free" networks.  A significant number of businesses are giving wifi away for free - as an incentive to get butts in seats, who then order coffee, or happy meals, or whatever.  Other businesses are using an advertising-based support model - watch an ad when you log in, and you get free access for the day.  Others are using wifi as a customer affinity program, or CRM system - why go to the cashier when you can order your food and drinks while at your seat - "oh, and can we sell you a new CD with that, sir?"  Some businesses just want to get a better idea of customer demographic.  The point is that a traditional for-fee network isn't necessarily the right business model for all occastions or for all locations.  
Believe me, we looked long and hard at the business model and tried to find ways to make it work.  What we realized is that wifi is not a one-size fits all service model.  Sometimes a per-minute or per-day for fee network is the way to go.  Sometimes it isn't.  What we realized, is that by creating an architecture that supported Don's idea allowed us to let our customers figure out the business model that was right for them.  In addition, the further commoditization of wifi hardware means that it is going to become more and more ubiquitous - so the number of potential wifi customers will increase, but hardware profit margins will decrease.  So we embarked on a new strategy:
  1. Give AP manufacturers something to differentiate themselves.  We shrunk our codesize so that it now fits onto the standard flash sizes of inexpensive APs.  Our core code only takes about 150KB of space, which means that there is no need to change hardware designs or increase hardware costs.  At the same time, optional components allow for manufacturers to add additional value through combinations of hardware of software, like VPN accelerators, group policy, bandwidth shaping and throttling, and more.  Licensing is very affordable, and it allows the AP manufacturers to increase their margins by selling differentiated products.
  2. Make money as a software company.  Sputnik's business model is based on selling the management system that lets you control and manage all of those inexpensive APs in a centralized manner.
  3. Let our customers decide on the right business model for them.  We built the Sputnik Central Control system using a set of open interfaces - so that our customers could use different billing systems, settlement systems, and authentication systems.  Because their capital expenditure is reduced by using inexpensive APs, and their operational expense is reduced by using the Sputnik Central Control management system, our customers are free to deply wifi in interesting ways, and to experiment with different service business models.  At $895 for Sputnik Central Control, it is also 1/4 to 1/10th the price of competitive systems.
  4. Be backwards-compatable.  Our products don't use any proprietary new radio encoding method, or even require special client software - all you need at a minimum is an SSL-capable web browser.  That means that all the major operating systems, all the major handhelds are immediately able to authenticate to a Sputnik-powered network.  Of course, client software can make things easier and more functional, but it is not a requirement for the system.  And IT directors can rest easy knowing that they don't have to add a single new piece of software to their standard builds.
  5. Be forwards-compatable.  Wifi is constantly changing - new speeds, new radios, new encryption methods are coming out all the time.  There's a lot of innovation going on in the space.  This is good and bad - you don't want to get locked in to buying a system that will be incompatable with tomorrow's standard. There is one body that everybody looks towards: the IEEE.  802.11 is the name of the IEEE working group that covers this whole area - and all the vendors work on and respect the standards coming out of the working group.  For example, when WEP was broken, the IEEE embarked on a new standard for encryption, based on AES, which is being hammered out by the 802.11i task group.  It's not ready yet.  When it is, Sputnik products will support it.  Until then, we're not getting into the crypto debate or muddying the waters with some proprietary crypto scheme.  A proprietary scheme ends up locking in a subset of customers, but it also ends up fragmenting the market, hurting everybody, especially the hapless souls who are now locked in.
I still love the "change the world" aspect of Don's idea, and ideas like his that build on network effects can certainly create economies of scale and competitive advantage.  In fact, I want to encourage Don to go out and build it and turn it into a gold mine.  Along the way, we're happy to sell him the picks and shovels he'll need to mine that gold.
Posted by dsifry at August 29, 2003 10:30 AM | TrackBack | View blog reactions
Comments

On point 2 of why you changed your model: you don't have to cut the ISP in. You just have to buy more expensive service.

First off, Speakeasy Networks now offers a share-as-you-want model for all of its DSL and T-1 service nationwide. So that solves that problem if you're anywhere that you can get DSL or T-1. You just subscribe to them.

Second, many ISPs offer business-grade versions that allow resale. Not all, and it's very particular, but it's certainly possible. A venue might pay $80/month instead of $40/month.

This increases the bottom line, but it's a fixed cost.

Interestingly, I think point 1 is irrelevant: customer service is a cost, of course, but very few users are going to call all the time, and some users will never call. The average customer service cost is the issue not the anecdotal cost.

Your point 3 is the killer. Without a guarantee of quality, availability, and speed, at each access point, how do you meet any promise of customer service, no matter how low the price?

That's what I believe will differentiate free and fee hot spots. The free ones will be availalble all over, but with no promise about today or tomorrow. Service out? Not our top priority (unless it's bringing lots of people in the door). For fee, you'll get service guarantees, sort of: they'll be much more geared up to spend money to make money.

I'm also waiting for the day in which a free spot is also a fee spot. For $20 per month you get full access, full T-1 or similar; for free, you can use email, some limited services, browse certain sites, and get bandwidth-throttled connections.

Posted by: Glenn Fleishman at August 30, 2003 8:06 AM

I can see not wanting to pursue that original idea but I'm not convinced by that rationale. 1) $10 month is definitely the wrong price. $2.95/hour, $6.95/day and $21.95/month would be about the minimum I would consider. 2) this seems a non-issue. It's not residents who will be doing this. It's cafe and restaurant owners, etc. SonOfSputnik can refer people to ISPs who actually want the business. 3) not insurmountable I would think. My network *never* goes down and I rotate a mac and a pc through it constantly. 4) live in San Fran and work in Mountain View and have yet to see a free network. Pay networks are clearly the only thing going. Problem is they are so fragmented, noone uses them. I think the biggest opportunity it supporting an infrastructure of small guys setting up APs that are metered/billed centrally with rev share. Which I guess describes Sputnik (and Joltage). Cometa may get there eventually but it's going to take a massive investment and a lot of bets. Extraordinary things can happen when small guys are empowered.

Posted by: pb at September 3, 2003 1:07 AM